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Event-tree analysis by fuzzy
probability Kenarangui, R. Dept. of Electr. Eng., Tabriz Univ.; This paper appears in: Reliability,
IEEE Transactions on
Publication Date: Apr 1991 On page(s): 120-124 Volume: 40, Issue:
1 ISSN:
0018-9529 References Cited:
10 CODEN: IERQAD
Abstract: A method is presented for dealing with
event-tree analysis under uncertainty. Fuzzy-set logic is used to
account for imprecision and uncertainty in data while employing
event-tree analysis. The fuzzy event-tree logic allows the use of
verbal statements for the probabilities and consequences, such as
very high, moderate, and low probability. The technique permits an
analysis of the qualitative evaluation of the event tree to gain the
quantitative results. The application of fuzzy event trees is
further demonstrated by using a set of event trees for an electric
power protection system to assess the viability of the method in
complex situations
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