HR: 0830h
AN: GP11C-0284    [PDF]
TI: Correlations Between Mass Disasters, Climate Change, Motion of the North Magnetic Pole and Nuclear Tests
AU: * Lyakhov, A N
EM: alyakhov@idg3.chph.ras.ru
AF: Institute of Geospheres Dynamics, Leninskij pr-kt, 38, korp.1, Moscow, 119334 Russian Federation
AB: Essential data on the occurrence and effects of over 12,800 mass disasters in the world from 1900 to 2000 was analysed. The temporal behavior has clear exponential trend since 1970. The existence of modulation by solar activity is shown. All data are strongly correlated with the motion of the North Magnetic Pole, which has been drastically sped since early 70s (from 9 km/yr up to 40 km/yr). The same is valid for tropospheric heating, $CH_4$ and $CO_2$ growth and stratospheric cooling (anti-correlation). The hypothesis is proposed, that the shift of the pole has been initialized by nuclear tests, as far as atmospheric explosions shows clear correlation with slight oscillations of the pole, while intense underground tests in the end of 60s caused the trigger effect. Consequently, considering the motion of the magnetic pole as a marker of litospheric processes, their intensification is suggested, resulted in modification of the outwards thermal fluxes. Some possible positive feedbacks are discussed. Work was sponsored by Russian Science Support Foundation.
DE: 1299 General or miscellaneous
DE: 1560 Time variations--secular and long term
DE: 1699 General or miscellaneous
DE: 7219 Nuclear explosion seismology
DE: 7223 Seismic hazard assessment and prediction
SC: Geomagnetism and Paleomagnetism [GP]
MN: 2003 Fall Meeting