HR: 0830h
AN: NG31A-0606 [PDF]
TI: Power Law Scaling and Recurrence Intervals of Tsunamis
AU: * Burroughs, S M
EM: sburroughs@ut.edu
AF: University of Tampa,
Dept. of Chemistry and Physics, 401 W Kennedy Blvd, Tampa, FL 33606 United States
AU: Tebbens, S F
EM: tebbens@marine.usf.edu
AF: University of South Florida,
College of Marine Science, 140 Seventh Ave., S, St. Petersburg, FL 33704 United States
AB:
Many natural systems have cumulative frequency-size distributions that follow a power law. Using tsunami runup data archived
by the U.S. National Geophysical Data Center, we study eight locations in Japan where the tsunami record spans at least one
order of magnitude in runup height and the temporal record extends back several decades. A power law describes the
cumulative frequency-size distribution of tsunami runup heights at these eight locations. The scaling relationship determined
for each location may be used to predict the recurrence intervals of tsunami runup heights. In addition to the tsunami
record used to determine the scaling relationship, at some of the examined locations the record extends back several
centuries for large events with runup heights greater than five meters. We find that the recurrence intervals of these large
events are consistent with the frequency predicted from the more recent record.
DE: 3200 MATHEMATICAL GEOPHYSICS (New field)
DE: 3250 Fractals and multifractals
DE: 4564 Tsunamis and storm surges
SC: Nonlinear Geophysics [NG]
MN: 2003 Fall Meeting