HR: 0800h
AN: A11B-0863 [Abstracts]
TI: A Seasonal Modeling Study of Air Quality in Central California
AU: * Jin, L
EM:
AF: Atmospheric Sciences Department
Environmental Energy Technologies Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
MS-51R0208, Berkeley, CA 94720
United States
AU: Tonse, S
EM:
AF: Atmospheric Sciences Department
Environmental Energy Technologies Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
MS-51R0208, Berkeley, CA 94720
United States
AU: Brown, N J
EM:
AF: Atmospheric Sciences Department
Environmental Energy Technologies Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
MS-51R0208, Berkeley, CA 94720
United States
AU: Steiner, A L
EM:
AF: Department of Environmental Science, Policy and Management, UC Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720
United States
AU: Harley, R
EM:
AF: Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
, University of California
, Berkeley, CA 94720
United States
AU: Wilczak, J M
EM:
AF: Regional Weather and Climate Applications Division
NOAA/Environmental Technology Laboratory, 325 Broadway, Mail Stop: ET7, Boulder, CO 80305
United States
AU: Bao, J
EM:
AF: Regional Weather and Climate Applications Division
NOAA/Environmental Technology Laboratory, 325 Broadway, Mail Stop: ET7, Boulder, CO 80305
United States
AU: Michelson, S A
EM:
AF: Regional Weather and Climate Applications Division
NOAA/Environmental Technology Laboratory, 325 Broadway, Mail Stop: ET7, Boulder, CO 80305
United States
AB:
In the past, photochemical air quality models have usually been applied to air pollution episodes that last for only a few
days. There are concerns about the representativeness of such episodes, and about models being tuned to perform well by
adjusting input data and model parameters. In our research, we seek a more comprehensive evaluation of air quality model
performance, and new insights into questions such as appropriate air pollution control strategies and inter-basin transport
of ozone and its precursors, through application of an air quality model to Central California for an entire summer season.
Ozone air pollution problems in Central California are severe and not improving. We report results from application of the
Community Multi-Scale Air Quality model (CMAQ) to a 15-day period from the summer 2000 Central California Ozone Study. Model
inputs were developed that describe variability in atmospheric conditions, and day-specific emission rates from both natural
and anthropogenic sources. We assess model's ability for predicting 1-h and 8-h average ozone concentrations, as well as
ozone precursors, across a range of days and locations, with significant air quality variations seen in both space and time
over the 2-week period. We use evaluation statistics including bias, gross error, and peak prediction accuracy. We also use
time series regression to evaluate the model's ability for reproducing observed ozone variability on daily and weekly time
scales.
DE: 0345 Pollution: urban and regional (0305, 0478, 4251)
SC: Atmospheric Sciences [A]
MN: Fall Meeting 2005