HR: 12:05h
AN: H32C-08 [Abstracts]
TI: Non-power-law scale properties of rainfall: consequences for
downscaling and stochastic rainfall generation
AU: Zanetti, S
EM: mariozanetti@libero.it
AF: International Center for Hydrology 'D. Tonini'
Univeristy of Padova
University of Padova, via Loredan 20, Padova, I-35131
AU: Alvaro, A
EM: nali_io@hotmail.com
AF: International Center for Hydrology 'D. Tonini'
Univeristy of Padova
University of Padova, via Loredan 20, Padova, I-35131
AU: * Marani, M
EM: marco.marani@unipd.it
AF: International Center for Hydrology 'D. Tonini'
Univeristy of Padova
University of Padova, via Loredan 20, Padova, I-35131
AB:
The identification of general relationships linking statistical
properties of rainfall aggregated at different temporal and
spatial scales possesses clear theoretical and practical
relevance. Among other properties it is important to characterize
the scale dependence of rainfall variability, which may, for many
purposes, be summarized by its variance. This contribution
presents theoretical results and observational analyses connecting
the variance of temporal and spatial rainfall to the scale of
observation under the assumption of second-order stationarity. In
particular we show that the theoretically-derived form of the
variance as a function of scale is incompatible with power-law
relations usually assumed for the second-order statistical moment
within multiscaling approaches to rainfall modelling. We validate
the predictions of the theoretical derivations making use of a
dataset representing a wide variety of resolutions (from 2 s to 1
hour in time and 4 km in space), climates and observation
instruments. We then apply these theoretical and observational
results to stochastically downscale daily rainfall observations to
the hourly scale. Results are statistically compared to hourly
validation observations and optimal downscaling methodologies are
identified.
DE: 1839 Hydrologic scaling
DE: 1854 Precipitation (3354)
DE: 1869 Stochastic hydrology
SC: Hydrology [H]
MN: Fall Meeting 2005