HR: 1340h
AN: H43B-0499 [Abstracts]
TI: Assessing the Evolution of Climate Change Impacts Studies on California Hydrology: A Background For The
IPCC Fourth Assessment's Studies
AU: * Vicuna, S
EM: svicuna@berkeley.edu
AF: Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, Berkeley, University of
California, Berkeley, CA 94720-1710
United States
AU: Dracup, J A
EM: dracup@ce.berkeley.edu
AF: Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, Berkeley, University of
California, Berkeley, CA 94720-1710
United States
AB:
The Third IPCC Assessment recognized that climate change has the potential to impact hydrology and water resources throughout
the world, especially in mountainous regions like California's Sierra Nevada Mountains. These mountainous regions are
especially vulnerable due to their dependence on mountain snow accumulation and the snowmelt process, two processes which are
especially susceptible to changes in temperature. This research investigates the evolution of climate change impact studies
on California hydrology, and serves as a background for current studies that will be included in the IPCC Fourth Assessment.
Over 40 studies in the last 20 years have attempted to assess the impacts of climate change on the California hydrology. We
have classified these studies in two major groups: the first group involves the question: what evidence of climate change do
we see in historical streamflows to date? The second category covers studies that are focused on prediction of the potential
effect of climate change on streamflow.
We recognize that there have been improvements in the methodological approaches used over 20 years. Despite some
disagreements among the studies, there is a consistent message that California will receive more water when we don't need it
and less when we need it.
DE: 1626 Global climate models (3337, 4928)
DE: 1630 Impacts of global change (1225)
DE: 1807 Climate impacts
DE: 1833 Hydroclimatology
DE: 1860 Streamflow
SC: Hydrology [H]
MN: Fall Meeting 2005