HR: 1340h
AN: P13A-0143 [Abstracts]
TI: Long Window Assimilation of Martian Meteorology
AU: * Houben, H
EM: houben@humbabe.arc.nasa.gov
AF: Bay Area Environmental Research Institute, 560 Third Street West, Sonoma, CA 95476
AB:
A major goal of the data assimilation of
planetary spacecraft atmospheric data is the
determination of a ``best-fit'' state of
meteorological variables consistent with all of
the measurements and with the physical
constraints imposed by a general circulation
model, so that inferences about indirectly
observed quantities --- winds --- can be made.
For this purpose, it is necessary that the
assimilation model produce not only a credible
zonal mean state, but a realistic spectrum of
baroclinic waves, while limiting gravity waves
(which are sometimes spurious byproducts of the
assimilation process). This motivates the use of
higher resolution models (not truncated to the
low zonal resolution of the observations) and
longer assimilation windows (i.e., longer periods
over which data is accumulated for each
assimilation calculation). M. Fisher of ECMWF
has recently shown that such long window, weak
constraint, variational assimilation (with a
window of 3 to 10 days in the terrestrial case)
is the equivalent of Kalman smoothing, but does
not require the estimation or propagation of the
forecast error covariance matrix (a considerable
savings in computational cost). Based on the
short effective time constant of the radiatively
active martian atmosphere, an even shorter window
should be adequate for martian meteorology. The
use of overlapping windows eliminates transients
--- those undesired gravity waves --- at the
start of the assimilation and minimizes the
importance of the background term in the
variational cost function. Preliminary
calculations with this approach, using 100 sols
of Mars Global Surveyor Thermal Emission
Spectrometer team retrieved temperature profiles,
show a reduction in the 1-sol forecast
root-mean-square error from 3.45 K to 3.05 K.
The root-mean-square error of the analysis is
1.68 K. There is a strong correlation between
the analysis errors and the topography,
suggesting that direct assimilation of the
infrared observations is preferable, at least in
the vicinity of Tharsis. The assimilated mean
zonal circulation is qualitatively similar to
that produced by ab initio general circulation
models. Traveling wave amplitudes are enhanced
compared to those assimilated with a severely
truncated (maximum zonal wavenumber 6) model.
DE: 3315 Data assimilation
DE: 3346 Planetary meteorology (5445, 5739)
DE: 5405 Atmospheres (0343, 1060)
DE: 5445 Meteorology (3346)
DE: 6225 Mars
SC: Planetary Sciences [P]
MN: Fall Meeting 2005