HR: 0800h
AN: S11A-0161    [Abstracts]
TI: DSOD Procedures for Seismic Hazard Analysis
AU: * Howard, J K
EM: jhoward@water.ca.gov
AF: California Division of Safety of Dams, 2200 X St, Suite 200, Sacramento, CA 95818 United States
AU: Fraser, W A
EM: billf@water.ca.gov
AF: California Division of Safety of Dams, 2200 X St, Suite 200, Sacramento, CA 95818 United States
AB: DSOD, which has jurisdiction over more than 1200 dams in California, routinely evaluates their dynamic stability using seismic shaking input ranging from simple pseudostatic coefficients to spectrally matched earthquake time histories. Our seismic hazard assessments assume maximum earthquake scenarios of nearest active and conditionally active seismic sources. Multiple earthquake scenarios may be evaluated depending on sensitivity of the design analysis (e.g., to certain spectral amplitudes, duration of shaking). Active sources are defined as those with evidence of movement within the last 35,000 years. Conditionally active sources are those with reasonable expectation of activity, which are treated as active until demonstrated otherwise. The Division's Geology Branch develops seismic hazard estimates using spectral attenuation formulas applicable to California. The formulas were selected, in part, to achieve a site response model similar to the 2000 IBC's for rock, soft rock, and stiff soil sites. The level of dynamic loading used in the stability analysis (50th, 67th, or 84th percentile ground shaking estimates) is determined using a matrix that considers consequence of dam failure and fault slip rate. We account for near-source directivity amplification along such faults by adjusting target response spectra and developing appropriate design earthquakes for analysis of structures sensitive to long-period motion. Based on in-house studies, the orientation of the dam analysis section relative to the fault-normal direction is considered for strike-slip earthquakes, but directivity amplification is assumed in any orientation for dip-slip earthquakes. We do not have probabilistic standards, but we evaluate the probability of our ground shaking estimates using hazard curves constructed from the USGS Interactive De-Aggregation website. Typically, return periods for our design loads exceed 1000 years. Excessive return periods may warrant a lower design load. Minimum shaking levels are provided for sites far from active faulting. Our procedures and standards are presented at the DSOD website http://damsafety.water.ca.gov/. We review our methods and tools periodically under the guidance of our Consulting Board for Earthquake Analysis (and expect to make changes pending NGA completion), mindful that frequent procedural changes can interrupt design evaluations.
DE: 7212 Earthquake ground motions and engineering seismology
DE: 8099 General or miscellaneous
SC: Seismology [S]
MN: Fall Meeting 2005