HR: 1340h
AN: S13B-0194 [Abstracts]
TI: Impact of the 1999 Mw 7.2 Duzce, Turkey Earthquake on the Seismic Activity Previously Generated by the
Izmit Earthquake
AU: * Daniel, G
EM: Guillaume.Daniel@obs.ujf-grenoble.fr
AF: Laboratoire de Geophysique Interne et Tectonophysique (LGIT), Maison des Geosciences
1381 rue de la piscine
B.P. 53, Grenoble Cedex 9, 38041
France
AU: MARSAN, D
EM: David.Marsan@univ-savoie.fr
AF: Laboratoire de Geophysique Interne et Tectonophysique (LGIT), Universite de Savoie
Campus Scientifique, Le Bourget du Lac, 73376
France
AU: Bouchon, M
EM: Michel.Bouchon@obs.ujf-grenoble.fr
AF: Laboratoire de Geophysique Interne et Tectonophysique (LGIT), Maison des Geosciences
1381 rue de la piscine
B.P. 53, Grenoble Cedex 9, 38041
France
AB:
Statistical analysis of the seismicity rate variations consecutive to the Nov, 12 1999 Mw 7.2 Düzce earthquake is
performed over the Westernmost part of the North Anatolian Fault. Observed activity rates are compared with extrapolation of
the seismicity generated by the Aug, 17 1999 Mw 7.4 Izmit earthquake, based on Omori-Utsu or on ETAS model decay laws. We
observe an episode of seismicity rate reactivation within the swarm of Yalova, Turkey, with a 99% confidence level for the
first month following the Düzce earthquake, that we propose has been dynamically triggered by the propagating seismic waves
consecutive to that mainshock. Seismic activity within this swarm started 2 days after the occurrence of the Izmit
earthquake and was reactivated 18 hours following the Düzce earthquake. Finally, we mention that Yalova swarm seems to have
experienced a quiescence of activity that started about 1 month after the Düzce earthquake.
DE: 3270 Time series analysis (1872, 4277, 4475)
DE: 7223 Earthquake interaction, forecasting, and prediction (1217, 1242)
SC: Seismology [S]
MN: Fall Meeting 2005