HR: 0800h
AN: T51B-1337    [Abstracts]
TI: Prediction for M>6.5 Japan Earthquakes by Jet Stream From 2004/10 /01 to 2005/08/30
AU: * Wu, H
EM: wu10002002@yahoo.com.tw
AB: Due to ion density in high atmosphere is abnormal prior to major earthquake, the satellite maps of jet stream between troposphere top and stratosphere was the tool to make prediction for Magnitude lager than 6.5 Japan earthquake from 2004/10/01 to 2005/08/30. The 6.6M Niigata earthquake, 6.6M Fukuoka earthquake, 7.2M Miyagi earthquake have the same phenomenon for jet stream change. By observation, prior to earthquakes take place, the uniform velocity streamline of jet streams with height of 9.6km will suddenly disrupt or the anterior of jet stream stay at epicenter for a certain time. The time range of prediction is within 30 days, magnitude scale is Magnitude lager than 5.5. Because the disrupting area is about 100km when the Magnitude lager than 6.5 major earthquake occur, the disrupting length will be considered. The results show the prediction point approach the disrupting area. The time range will prolong to two months. The prediction web. http://home.kimo.com.tw/wu10002002/ Number (63) 08/15-09/15 Japan38.3N140.2E large than 5.5M , 2004/10/23 Niigata (37.3N138.3E) Depth=16km 6.6M, Number (112) 01/1/-02/18 Japan (32.3N130.9E) large than 6.0M , 2005/03/20 Fukuoka (33.8N130.1E) Depth =10km 6.6M, Number (158) 07/12-08/12, northern Japan40.4N141.3E, large than 5.5M, 2005/08/16 Miyagi (38.4N142.0E) Depth =36km 7.2M
DE: 2400 IONOSPHERE (6929)
DE: 3238 Prediction (3245, 4263)
DE: 7200 SEISMOLOGY
DE: 7223 Earthquake interaction, forecasting, and prediction (1217, 1242)
SC: Tectonophysics [T]
MN: Fall Meeting 2005