HR: 11:05h
AN: A22A-04 INVITED [Abstracts]
TI: NOx Emissions from Large Point Sources: Variability in Ozone Production, Resulting Health Damages and
Economic Costs
AU: * Mauzerall, D L
EM: mauzeral@princeton.edu
AF: Science, Technology and Environmental Policy program, Woodrow Wilson School
Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544
AU: Sultan, B
EM: bsultan@alumni.princeton.edu
AF: Economics Department, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544
AU: Kim, N
EM: namsoug@princeton.edu
AF: Science, Technology and Environmental Policy program, Woodrow Wilson School
Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544
AU: Bradford, D
EM: bradford@princeton.edu
AF: Science, Technology and Environmental Policy program, Woodrow Wilson School
Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544
AU: Bradford, D
EM: bradford@princeton.edu
AF: Economics Department, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544
AB:
We present a proof-of-concept analysis of the measurement of the health damage of ozone (O3) produced from nitrogen oxides
(NOx = NO + NO2) emitted by individual large point sources in the eastern United States. We use a regional atmospheric model
of the eastern United States, the Comprehensive Air Quality Model with Extensions (CAMx), to quantify the variable impact
that a fixed quantity of NOx emitted from individual sources can have on the downwind concentration of surface O3, depending
on temperature and local biogenic hydrocarbon emissions. We also examine the dependence of resulting ozone-related health
damages on the size of the exposed population. The investigation is relevant to the increasingly widely used "cap and trade"
approach to NOx regulation, which presumes that shifts of emissions over time and space, holding the total fixed over the
course of the summer O3 season, will have minimal effect on the environmental outcome. By contrast, we show that a shift of
a unit of NOx emissions from one place or time to another could result in large changes in the health effects due to ozone
formation and exposure. We indicate how the type of modeling carried out here might be used to attach externality-correcting
prices to emissions. Charging emitters fees that are commensurate with the damage caused by their NOx emissions would
create an incentive for emitters to reduce emissions at times and in locations where they cause the largest damage.
UR: http://www.wws.princeton.edu/mauzerall/dlm_publications.htm
DE: 6304 Benefit-cost analysis
DE: 6324 Legislation and regulations
DE: 0345 Pollution--urban and regional (0305)
DE: 0365 Troposphere--composition and chemistry
DE: 0368 Troposphere--constituent transport and chemistry
SC: Atmospheric Sciences [A]
MN: 2004 AGU Fall Meeting