HR: 1340h
AN: A23B-0797 [Abstracts]
TI: Polar Amplification of Global Warming in Models Without Ice-Albedo Feedbacks
AU: * Alexeev, V A
EM: valexeev@iarc.uaf.edu
AF: University of Alaska Fairbanks, IARC, 930 Koyukuk Dr. University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK
99775
United States
AU: Langen, P L
EM: plangen@gfy.ku.dk
AF: Niels Bohr Institute, Juliane Maries vej 30,
Department of Geophysics, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen O, DK-2100
Denmark
AB:
Non-ice-albedo feedback mechanisms leading to polar amplification, as reported by Alexeev (2003), are explored in three
aquaplanet climate model systems of different complexity. We analyze this pattern using three different "ghost forcing"
experiments (Hansen et al, 1997). In the first one we uniformly add 4W/m2 to the oceanic mixed layer in order to roughly
simulate a 2xCO2 forcing at the surface. The second forcing, of the same magnitude, is applied only within the tropics and
the third forcing is applied only polewards of 30 degrees (north and south). It turns out that our systems' equilibrium
responses are linear with respect to these forcings. Surprisingly, the response to the tropical-only forcing is essentially
non-local with quite significant warming at higher latitudes. The response to the high-latitude-only forcing is more local
and has higher amplitude near the poles. Our explanation of the polar amplification obtained in the uniform forcing
experiment is therefore two-fold. Firstly, the tropics are much more difficult to warm because of the higher sensitivity of
the surface budget to SST changes at higher temperatures. Secondly, any extra heat deposited in the tropics is not easily
radiated to outer space because of the high opaqueness of the tropical atmosphere. The energy, most of which is latent, needs
to be redistributed by transports to the extra-tropics. Consequently, the tropical "ghost forcing" results in an essentially
non-local response, while the extra-tropical one yields a more localized response, because the energy in the atmosphere
cannot propagate effectively equator-wards from high latitudes. The paper deals with these mechanisms in three climate model
systems with no ice-albedo feedbacks - an EBM and two different GCMs - one with cloud feedbacks and the other with cloud
feedbacks excluded.
References.
Alexeev, V.A., (2003) Sensitivity to CO2 doubling of an atmospheric GCM coupled to an oceanic mixed layer: a linear analysis.
Climate Dynamics, 20: p.775-787.
Hansen, J., Sato M, and R. Ruedy, (1997) Radiative forcing and climate response,
JGR, 102, No. D6, 6831-6864.
DE: 3339 Ocean/atmosphere interactions (0312, 4504)
DE: 3344 Paleoclimatology
DE: 4522 El Ni¤o
DE: 3220 Nonlinear dynamics
DE: 1620 Climate dynamics (3309)
SC: Atmospheric Sciences [A]
MN: 2004 AGU Fall Meeting