HR: 1340h
AN: H33D-0492 [Abstracts]
TI: Implications of Metal Load Randomness for Mine Water Pollution Abatement
AU: * Baresel, C
EM: baresel@kth.se
AF: Department of Land and Water Resources Engineering, Royal Institute of Technology (KTH), Brinellv„gen
32, Stockholm, 100 44
Sweden
AU: Destouni, G
EM: georgia.destouni@natgeo.su.se
AF: Department of Physical Geography & Quaternary Geology, Stockholm University, Svante Arrhenius v„g 8C,
Stockholm, 106 91
Sweden
AB:
Spatial and temporal variability of pollution transport from point and diffuse mine water sources (e.g. mine wastes,
abandoned mine voids, contaminated groundwater) in catchments imply uncertainty in mine water pollution loads at important
compliance boundaries (CB) and in cost-efficient abatement solutions for handling these loads. We use a stochastic
description of total pollution loading from different possible mine water sources and quantify the effect of random load
variance on minimum abatement costs for various targeted zinc load reductions to the Dal River, Sweden. Consideration of
randomness in mine water pollution loads implies that, under certain conditions, compliance costs may be lower for higher
than for lower load reduction targets, for the same load coefficient of variation and required probability to reach targeted
load reductions. In addition, we illustrate that total costs in the cost-efficient abatement solutions converge with
increasing zinc load reduction targets. Cost-efficient abatement solutions and costs are therefore more sensitive to
uncertainty in pollution loading at lower than at higher compliance targets. For the example case of the Dal River Basin, we
also show that the generally increasing abatement costs with increasing load variance and desired probability to reach
targeted load reductions is only step-wise continuous, because cost-efficient abatement requires both continuous (e.g.
constructed wetlands) and discrete (e.g. soil covers) abatement measures.
DE: 6309 Decision making under uncertainty
DE: 1899 General or miscellaneous
DE: 1803 Anthropogenic effects
DE: 1869 Stochastic processes
DE: 1871 Surface water quality
SC: Hydrology [H]
MN: 2004 AGU Fall Meeting