HR: 16:00h
AN: NG54A-01    [Abstracts]
TI: Earthquake Forecasting with Correlated Seismicity Patterns
AU: * Tiampo, K F
EM: ktiampo@uwo.ca
AF: Department of Earth Sciences, University of Western Ontario, London, ON N6A 5B7 Canada
AU: Rundle, J B
EM: rundle@physics.ucdavis.edu
AF: Center for Computational Science and Engineering, University of California, Davis, CA 95616 United States
AU: Klein, W
EM: klein@buphyc.bu.edu
AF: Department of Physics, Boston University, Boston, MA 02215 United States
AB: Large, extended fault systems such as those in California are known to demonstrate complex space-time seismicity patterns. These include, but are not limited to, repetitive events, precursory activity and quiescence, and aftershock sequences. In the past we have employed a pattern informatics analysis technique, formulated based on the physical and theoretical understanding of complex, nonlinear fault systems, to isolate emergent regions of coherent, correlated seismicity prior to their occurrence in southern California (Tiampo et al., 2002). Here we apply this same methodology, and a related eigenvector decomposition technique, to other seismically active regions at different spatial and temporal scales.
DE: 7223 Seismic hazard assessment and prediction
DE: 7230 Seismicity and seismotectonics
DE: 7209 Earthquake dynamics and mechanics
DE: 3220 Nonlinear dynamics
SC: Nonlinear Geophysics [NG]
MN: 2004 AGU Fall Meeting