HR: 15:10h
AN: SA43B-07 [Abstracts]
TI: Space Environmental Anomalies Expert System, Real-Time (SEAESRT)
AU: * OBrien, T P
EM: paul.obrien@aero.org
AF: The Aerospace Corporation, M2-260
PO Box 92957, Los Angeles, CA 90009-2957
United States
AU: Koons, H C
EM: Harry.C.Koons@notes.aero.org
AF: The Aerospace Corporation, M2-260
PO Box 92957, Los Angeles, CA 90009-2957
United States
AB:
The Aerospace Corporation has developed a real-time version
of its Space Environmental Anomalies Expert System. Given that a
geosynchronous vehicle has experienced an anomaly, SEAESRT analyzes 5
different space environment effects that might have caused the
anomaly. We use cumulative probability distributions obtained from
historical observations to develop situational awareness levels for
real-time data. We presently use the 97th percentile to indicate the
severe level for each parameter, based on the 97th percentile of Kp,
which is Kp$>$7. SEAESRT provides confidences between +1.0 (Definitely
For) to -1.0 (Definitely Against) for each environmental effect being
the possible cause of the anomaly. We have also developed a front end
and graphical user interface to automatically manage the available
environment measurements and prepare the inputs to SEAESRT. This new
system includes heads-up status displays as well as the ability to
ingest new data in real-time either using the GUI or using batch
programs.
DE: 2118 Energetic particles, solar
DE: 2720 Energetic particles, trapped
SC: SPA-Aeronomy [SA]
MN: 2004 AGU Fall Meeting