HR: 0800h
AN: SA51B-0243    [Abstracts]
TI: An Integrated Program to Forecast Geostorms
AU: * LaBonte, B J
EM: Barry.LaBonte@jhuapl.edu
AF: The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, 11100 Johns Hopkins Road, Laurel, MD 20723 United States
AU: Rust, D
EM: Dave.Rust@jhuapl.edu
AF: The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, 11100 Johns Hopkins Road, Laurel, MD 20723 United States
AU: Bernasconi, P
EM: Pietro.Bernasconi@jhuapl.edu
AF: The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, 11100 Johns Hopkins Road, Laurel, MD 20723 United States
AU: Georgoulis, M
EM: Manolis.Georgoulis@jhuapl.edu
AF: The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, 11100 Johns Hopkins Road, Laurel, MD 20723 United States
AB: We have developed several operational products and automated tools for assessing the helicity content of solar regions and their probability of launching a geoeffective coronal mass ejection. These include detection of active region sigmoids, measurement of magnetic helicity injection in active regions, measurement of the sense of helicity in solar filaments, and the estimate of magnetic helicity content of active regions from vector magnetogram observations. In this presentation we discuss a new program to integrate the separate products and tools into a single product that provides a quantitative mid-term forecast of solar activity that results in geomagnetic storms.
DE: 7513 Coronal mass ejections
DE: 7524 Magnetic fields
SC: SPA-Aeronomy [SA]
MN: 2004 AGU Fall Meeting