HR: 08:50h
AN: U21B-03 INVITED     [Abstracts]
TI: Out of gas: the end of the age of oil
AU: * Goodstein, D
EM: dg@caltech.edu
AF: Vice-Provost, California Institute of Technology, 104 Parsons-Gates, Mail Code 104-31, Pasadena, CA 91125 United States
AB: The world will start to run out of cheap, conventionally produced oil much sooner than most people expect, possibly within this decade. This talk will discuss the reasoning that leads to that conclusion and the likely consequences if it is correct. It may be possible, with considerable difficulty to substitute other fossil fuels for the missing oil, but if we do that we may do irreparable damage to Earth's climate. And even then we would start to run out of all fossil fuels, including coal, probably within this century. Can civilization survive if that happens? We will consider the possibilities.
DE: 6600 PUBLIC ISSUES
DE: 6620 Science policy
DE: 1699 General or miscellaneous
DE: 1610 Atmosphere (0315, 0325)
DE: 1645 Solid Earth
SC: Union [U]
MN: 2004 AGU Fall Meeting