HR: 0800h
AN: A11C-0613 [Abstracts]
TI: Optimal Estimation of the Surface Fluxes of Chloromethanes Using a 3-D Global Atmospheric Chemical Transport Model
AU: * Xiao, X
EM: xuexiao@mit.edu
AF: Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of
Technology, 77 Massachusetts Avenue, Cambridge, MA 02139, United States
AU: Prinn, R G
EM: rprinn@mit.edu
AF: Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of
Technology, 77 Massachusetts Avenue, Cambridge, MA 02139, United States
AU: Weiss, R F
EM: rfweiss@ucsd.edu
AF: Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, 9500 Gilman
Drive, La Jolla, CA 92093, United States
AU: Simmonds, P G
EM: petergsimmonds@aol.com
AF: School of Chemistry, University of Bristol, Cantock's Close, Bristol, BS8 1TS, United
Kingdom
AU: Fraser, P J
EM: paul.fraser@csiro.au
AF: Marine and Atmospheric Research, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research
Organization, 107-121 Station Street, Aspendale, Victoria, 3195, Australia
AB:
The four chloromethanes - methyl chloride (CH3Cl), dichloromethane (CH2Cl2), chloroform
(CHCl3), and carbon tetrachloride (CCl4) are chlorine-containing gases contributing significantly to
stratospheric ozone depletion and/or having adverse health effects. Large uncertainties in estimates of their
source and sink magnitudes and temporal and spatial variations currently exist. GEIA inventories and other
bottom-up emission results are used to construct a priori maps of surface fluxes of these species. The Model of
Atmospheric Transport and CHemistry (MATCH), driven by NCEP interannually varying meteorological fields, is
then used to simulate the trace gas mole fractions using the a priori emissions and to quantify the time series for
sensitivities of tracer concentrations to different aseasonal, seasonal, and regional sources and sinks. We then
implement the Kalman filter (with the unit pulse response method) to estimate time-varying surface fluxes at a
monthly resolution for the three short-lived species between 2000-2004, and at a 3-month resolution for
CCl4 between 1996-2004. The high frequency observations from AGAGE, SOGE, NIES and
NOAA/GMD/ESRL HATS CATS and other low frequency flask observations from NOAA/GMD/ESRL HATS are used
to constrain the source and sink magnitudes estimated as multiplying factors for the a priori emissions and
contained in the state vector in the Kalman filter. The CH3Cl inversion results indicate large CH3Cl
emissions of ~ 2278 Gg/yr from the tropical plants. Relative to their a priori magnitudes, the inversion nearly
doubles global fungal emissions, slightly increases emissions from biomass burning and salt marshes, and
reduces the global ocean source and soil sink. The inversion also implies greater seasonal oscillations of the
natural sources and sink of CH3Cl compared to the a priori. These results and those for the
CH2Cl2, CHCl3 and CCl4 inversions will be presented and discussed.
DE: 0315 Biosphere/atmosphere interactions (0426, 1610)
DE: 0322 Constituent sources and sinks
DE: 0365 Troposphere: composition and chemistry
DE: 0368 Troposphere: constituent transport and chemistry
SC: Atmospheric Sciences [A]
MN: 2007 Fall Meeting