HR: 1340h
AN: A13E-1606 [Abstracts]
TI: Detection of North Atlantic Polar Lows in Climate Mode Simulations
AU: Zahn, M
EM: matthias.zahn@gkss.de
AF: Institute for Coastal Research
GKSS Research Center, Max PLanck Str 1, Geesthacht, 21502, Germany
AU: Zahn, M
EM: matthias.zahn@gkss.de
AF: Meteorological Institute
University of Hamburg, Bundesstrasse 55, Hamburg, 20146, Germany
AU: * von Storch, H
EM: hvonstorch@web.de
AF: Institute for Coastal Research
GKSS Research Center, Max PLanck Str 1, Geesthacht, 21502, Germany
AU: * von Storch, H
EM: hvonstorch@web.de
AF: Meteorological Institute
University of Hamburg, Bundesstrasse 55, Hamburg, 20146, Germany
AU: Bakan, S
EM: stephan.bakan@zmaw.de
AF: Max Planck Institute of Meteorology, Bundesstrasse 53, Hamburg, 20146, Germany
AB:
Polar lows are not properly resolved in global re-analyses. Atmospheric limited area models (LAMs), which post-
process re-analysis data, may be an appropriate tool for describing the year-to-year variability and decadal trends
in the formation of Polar Lows.
The merits and potential of this approach are examined in case studies of reproducing polar low occurrences
with a LAM. A series of three week long ensemble simulations of weather situations over the NE Atlantic with a
RCM/LAM (CLM) was conducted and its capability to reproduce polar lows was investigated. To keep the
influence of the initial field low, the simulations were begun approximately two weeks prior to the polar low
formation.
It is shown that polar lows can be reproduced with the LAM. When "spectral
nudging" is applied a polar low develops in all ensemble members and the simulations are
very insensitive to the initial conditions. However there are differences in detail compared to observational data,
e.g extent of pressure decline and polar low's location.
In a scond step towards our goal of determining trends in changing frequencies and characteristics, an algorithm
for automatical detection polar lows has been designed and tested. This algorithm was applied to the output
fields of a long-term simulation and first results are shown.
DE: 3349 Polar meteorology
DE: 3355 Regional modeling
SC: Atmospheric Sciences [A]
MN: 2007 Fall Meeting