HR: 15:25h
AN: B43H-08 INVITED    [Abstracts]
TI: Including Land Use and Land Cover Change in Earth System Models
AU: * Janetos, A C
EM: ajanetos@comcast.net
AF: Joint Global Change Research Institute, 8400 Baltimore Ave., Suite 201, College Park, MD 22203, United States
AB: The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment provided the most recent well-documented global view of recent, rapid land-cover and land-use change. These results coincided with its review of the structure of the major proximate and ultimate drivers of global changes and changes in the provision and sustainability of ecosystem services. This review is now supplemented by the recent findings of the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, which reinforces previous ideas of regional vulnerability and the importance of carbon cycle feedbacks due to land-cover change. We review these recent findings, and the state of science in modeling the economic choices for land-use and land-cover change that are currently implemented in the Joint Global Change Research Institute's Integrated Assessment Model, the MiniCAM, and make a series of research recommendations for the challenges of incorporating human decision-making and ecological phenomena in the next generation of Earth System Models.
DE: 0315 Biosphere/atmosphere interactions (0426, 1610)
DE: 1610 Atmosphere (0315, 0325)
SC: Biogeosciences [B]
MN: 2007 Fall Meeting