HR: 11:30h
AN: H52A-05 INVITED    [Abstracts]
TI: Progress toward the development and application of ensemble-based short-term hydrologic forecasts.
AU: * Hartman, R K
EM: Robert.Hartman@noaa.gov
AF: NOAA/NWS/CNRFC, 3310 El Camino Avenue, Suite 226, Sacramento, CA 95821, United States
AB: Water resource managers have benefited from the provision of reliable uncertainty information associated with long-range hydrologic forecasts for many years, particularly in the Western U.S. The development and application of short-term uncertainty information is considerably more complex, yet holds singnificant promise for several user sectors including emergency services, resources and environmental managers, flood control, and hydro power producers. Recognizing the benefits, National Weather Service has been working toward the development of ensemble- based short-term hydrologic forecasts for many years. Recently, efforts have intensified and refocused on a fieldable system for all NWS River Forecast Centers. Challenges, progress, and development plans will be presented.
DE: 1816 Estimation and forecasting
DE: 1840 Hydrometeorology
DE: 1847 Modeling
DE: 1873 Uncertainty assessment (3275)
SC: Hydrology [H]
MN: 2007 Fall Meeting