HR: 13:45h
AN: OS23B-01 INVITED [Abstracts]
TI: Geophysical Hazards and Preventive Disaster Management of Extreme Natural Events
AU: * Ismail-Zadeh, A
EM: Alik.Ismail-Zadeh@gpi.uka.de
AF: Geophysical Institute, University of Karlsruhe, Hertzstr. 16, Karlsruhe, 76187, Germany
AU: * Ismail-Zadeh, A
EM: Alik.Ismail-Zadeh@gpi.uka.de
AF: International Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics,
Russian Academy of Science, 84/32 Profsoyuznaya ul., Moscow, 117997, Russian Federation
AU: Takeuchi, K
EM: kuni.t@pwri.go.jp
AF: International Center for Water Hazard and Risk Management under the auspices of
UNESCO, Minamihara 1-6, Tsukuba, 305-8516, Japan
AB:
Geophysical hazard is potentially damaging natural event and/or phenomenon, which may cause the loss of life
or injury, property damage, social and economic disruption, or environmental degradation. Extreme natural
hazards are a key manifestation of the complex hierarchical nonlinear Earth system. An understanding, accurate
modeling and forecasting of the extreme hazards are most important scientific challenges. Several recent
extreme natural events (e.g., 2004 Great Indian Ocean Earthquake and Tsunami and the 2005 violent Katrina
hurricane) demonstrated strong coupling between solid Earth and ocean, and ocean and atmosphere. These
events resulted in great humanitarian tragedies because of a weak preventive disaster management. The less
often natural events occur (and the extreme events are rare by definition), the more often the disaster managers
postpone the preparedness to the events. The tendency to reduce the funding for preventive disaster
management of natural catastrophes is seldom follows the rules of responsible stewardship for future
generations neither in developing countries nor in highly developed economies where it must be considered next
to malfeasance. Protecting human life and property against earthquake disasters requires an uninterrupted chain
of tasks: from (i) understanding of physics of the events, analysis and monitoring, through (ii) interpretation,
modeling, hazard assessment, and prediction, to (iii) public awareness, preparedness, and preventive disaster
management.
DE: 0468 Natural hazards
SC: Ocean Sciences [OS]
MN: 2007 Fall Meeting