HR: 15:00h
AN: OS23B-06 [Abstracts]
TI: Tsunami hazard estimates using forecast tools
AU: * Titov, V V
EM: vasily.titov@noaa.gov
AF: NOAA/PMEL; UW/JISAO, 7600 Sand Point Way NE, Bldg. 3, Seattle, WA 98115, United
States
AB:
NOAA's Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory is developing tsunami modeling tools as part of the real-time
tsunami forecast system for NOAA's Tsunami Warning Centers. The models are used in combination with the
real-time deep-ocean measurements to produce estimates of tsunami parameters for coastal locations before
the wave reaches the coast. This real-time tsunami hazard assessment will help to provide an informative and
site-specific warning for coastal communities. Combined with education and mitigation measures, the tsunami
forecast and warning will provide an effective means for coastal communities to prevent loss of lives from
tsunamis. It will also reduce the chances for unnecessary evacuations due to over-warning.
The modeling tools that have been developed for the real-time forecast could be used for the long-term tsunami
hazard assessment as well. The forecast models for ocean-wide tsunami propagation and coastal inundation
are thoroughly developed and tested to provide the best possible accuracy. These models provide an opportunity
for unprecedented quality scope of tsunami hazard assessment for a particular coastal community. Several
examples of tsunami hazard assessments using the forecast tools will be presented.
UR: http://nctr.pmel.noaa.gov/
DE: 4255 Numerical modeling (0545, 0560)
DE: 4260 Ocean data assimilation and reanalysis (3225)
DE: 4564 Tsunamis and storm surges
SC: Ocean Sciences [OS]
MN: 2007 Fall Meeting