HR: 0800h
AN: PP11A-0199 [Abstracts]
TI: Simulated Modes Of Variability In the Permian (251 Ma): The North Panthalassic Oscillation
AU: * Shields, C A
EM: shields@ucar.edu
AF: National Center for Atmospheric Research, P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307, United
States
AU: Kiehl, J T
EM: jtkon@ucar.edu
AF: National Center for Atmospheric Research, P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307, United
States
AB:
An Arctic Oscillation-type variability is found and investigated in two multi-millennia fully coupled climate
simulations of the Permian/Triassic (251Ma) period using the Community Climate System Model, Version 3
(CCSM3). We refer to this mode of variability as the North Panthalassic Oscillation (NPO) and diagnose its
character in both Permian experiments. The first simulation is a realistic representation of the Permian/Triassic
boundary where CO2 levels are set to 10 times present day values. The NPO in this experiment manifests in the
western Panthalassic Ocean (akin to the Pacific Ocean). The second simulation represents a much colder
Permian world where CO2 levels are set to present day values. In this experiment, the NPO demonstrates its
ability to change its maximum variance location from eastern Panthalassa (akin to the Atlantic Ocean) to western
Panthalassa, by the end of the simulation. The NPO's ability to flip dominance location is influenced by sea ice
expansion into eastern Panthalassa and subsequent changes in baroclinicity and storm tracks. Tropical
precipitation is also shown to play a smaller role in the cold case where the mid-latitude connection to the tropics
is stronger.
DE: 1620 Climate dynamics (0429, 3309)
DE: 3305 Climate change and variability (1616, 1635, 3309, 4215, 4513)
DE: 3337 Global climate models (1626, 4928)
DE: 3344 Paleoclimatology (0473, 4900)
SC: Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology [PP]
MN: 2007 Fall Meeting