HR: 1340h
AN: S13B-1303 [Abstracts]
TI: Search of Possible Triggered Seismicity Patterns of Northern Tien Shan
AU: * Novikov, V
EM: novikov@ihed.ras.ru
AF: Joint Institute for High Temperatures of Russian Academy of Sciences, 13/19, Izhorskaya
str., Moscow, 125412, Russian Federation
AU: Vorontsova, E
EM: voroncova@mail.ru
AF: Joint Institute for High Temperatures of Russian Academy of Sciences, 13/19, Izhorskaya
str., Moscow, 125412, Russian Federation
AB:
Statistical analysis of the Northern Tien Shan seismicity was performed considering the possible triggering
impacts of natural and man-made mechanical and electromagnetic factors on seismic activity. Strong distant
earthquakes, lunar-solar tides, and magnetic storms are considered as natural triggering factors. The man-made
factors include underground nuclear explosions (UNE) and electromagnetic impacts provided by high-power
magnetohydrodynamic pulsed (MHD) generators. The representative local earthquake catalog of the region under
study (41°-46° N, 74°-82° E) includes 15577 events of M>1.67 from 1975 to 2000. Within this time period 330
UNE and 109 firing runs of MHD generators, which are considered as the possible man-made earthquake
triggering factors, have been performed within or adjacent to the analyzed region. Various statistical methods
(cross-correlation, spectral analysis, RTL-analysis, etc.) were employed. For the used statement of problem and
applied initial data the statistically significant patterns of triggered seismicity of the Northern Tien-Shan due to
impacts of UNE and MHD generators were not found. Large common periods of seismicity variation for time
series of distant strong earthquakes and local seismic events were selected. There is significant number of
common periods (7, 9, 14, 28, 186, and 16384 days) for variation of z-component of the earth tide and release of
seismic energy that may point to an influence of the earth tides on the local seismicity.
DE: 1242 Seismic cycle related deformations (6924, 7209, 7223, 7230)
DE: 3255 Spectral analysis (3205, 3280)
DE: 3270 Time series analysis (1872, 4277, 4475)
DE: 7209 Earthquake dynamics (1242)
DE: 7223 Earthquake interaction, forecasting, and prediction (1217, 1242)
SC: Seismology [S]
MN: 2007 Fall Meeting