HR: 09:00h
AN: S21D-04 [Abstracts]
TI: Istanbul Earthquake Early Warning System
AU: Alcik, H
EM: alcik@boun.edu.tr
AF: Bogazici University, Cengelkoy, Istanbul, 34684, Turkey
AU: Mert, A
EM: mertayqboun.edu.tr
AF: Bogazici University, Cengelkoy, Istanbul, 34684, Turkey
AU: Ozel, O
EM: ozeoguz@boun.edu.tr
AF: Istanbul University, Avcilar, Istanbul, 34600, Turkey
AU: * Erdik, M
EM: erdik@boun.edu.tr
AF: Bogazici University, Cengelkoy, Istanbul, 34684, Turkey
AB:
As part of the preparations for the future earthquake in Istanbul a Rapid Response and Early Warning system in
the metropolitan area is in operation. For the Early Warning system ten strong motion stations were installed as
close as possible to the fault zone. Continuous on-line data from these stations via digital radio modem provide
early warning for potentially disastrous earthquakes. Considering the complexity of fault rupture and the short fault
distances involved, a simple and robust Early Warning algorithm, based on the exceedance of specified
threshold time domain amplitude levels is implemented. The band-pass filtered accelerations and the
cumulative absolute velocity (CAV) are compared with specified threshold levels. When any acceleration or CAV
(on any channel) in a given station exceeds specific threshold values it is considered a vote. Whenever we have 2
station votes within selectable time interval, after the first vote, the first alarm is declared. In order to specify the
appropriate threshold levels a data set of near field strong ground motions records form Turkey and the world has
been analyzed. Correlations among these thresholds in terms of the epicenter distance the magnitude of the
earthquake have been studied. The encrypted early warning signals will be communicated to the respective end
users. Depending on the location of the earthquake (initiation of fault rupture) and the recipient facility the alarm
time can be as high as about 8s. The first users of the early warning signal will be the Istanbul gas company
(IGDAS) and the metro line using the immersed tube tunnel (MARMARAY). Other prospective users are power
plants and power distribution systems, nuclear research facilities, critical chemical factories, petroleum facilities
and high-rise buildings.
In this study, different algorithms based on PGA, CAV and various definitions of instrumental intensity will be
discussed and triggering threshold levels of these parameters will be studied. More complex algorithms based
on artificial neural networks (ANN) can also be used [Boese et al., 2003]. ANN approach considers the problem of
earthquake early-warning as a pattern recognition task. The seismic patterns can be defined by the shape and
frequency content of the parts of accelerograms that are available at each time step. ANN can extract the
engineering parameters PGA, CAV and instrumental intensity from these patterns, and map them to any location
in the surrounded area.
Boese M., Erdik, M., Wenzel, F. (2003), Artificial Neural Networks for Earthquake Early Warning, Proceedings
AGU2003 Abstracts, S42B-0155
DE: 7212 Earthquake ground motions and engineering seismology
DE: 7215 Earthquake source observations (1240)
DE: 7294 Seismic instruments and networks (0935, 3025)
SC: Seismology [S]
MN: 2007 Fall Meeting