HR: 17:10h
AN: S44A-05 INVITED [Abstracts]
TI: Pacific Tsunamis Tested NOAA Experimental Forecast System
AU: * Titov, V V
EM: vasily.titov@noaa.gov
AF: NOAA/PMEL, 7600 Sand Point Way NE, Bldg. 3, Seattle, WA 98115, United States
AU: * Titov, V V
EM: vasily.titov@noaa.gov
AF: University of Washington/JISAO, 7600 Sand Point Way NE, Bldg. 3, Seattle, WA 98115,
United States
AU: Bernard, E
EM: eddie.n.berard@noaa.gov
AF: NOAA/PMEL, 7600 Sand Point Way NE, Bldg. 3, Seattle, WA 98115, United States
AU: Tang, L
EM: Liujuan.Tang@noaa.gov
AF: NOAA/PMEL, 7600 Sand Point Way NE, Bldg. 3, Seattle, WA 98115, United States
AU: Tang, L
EM: Liujuan.Tang@noaa.gov
AF: University of Washington/JISAO, 7600 Sand Point Way NE, Bldg. 3, Seattle, WA 98115,
United States
AU: Wei, Y
EM: Yong.Wei@noaa.gov
AF: NOAA/PMEL, 7600 Sand Point Way NE, Bldg. 3, Seattle, WA 98115, United States
AU: Wei, Y
EM: Yong.Wei@noaa.gov
AF: University of Washington/JISAO, 7600 Sand Point Way NE, Bldg. 3, Seattle, WA 98115,
United States
AU: Weiss, R
EM: Robert.Weiss@noaa.gov
AF: NOAA/PMEL, 7600 Sand Point Way NE, Bldg. 3, Seattle, WA 98115, United States
AU: Weiss, R
EM: Robert.Weiss@noaa.gov
AF: University of Washington/JISAO, 7600 Sand Point Way NE, Bldg. 3, Seattle, WA 98115,
United States
AB:
Tsunami Warning Centers (TWCs) of National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) are tasked with
issuing tsunami warnings for the U.S. and other nations around the Pacific. NOAA's Pacific Marine Environmental
Laboratory has developed the methodology that combines real-time deep-ocean measurements with tested and
verified model estimates to produce real-time tsunami forecast for coastal communities. This methodology (also
known as Short-term Inundation Forecast - SIFT) is currently being implemented at NOAA's TWCs. Tsunami
forecast should provide site- and event-specific information about tsunamis before the first wave arrives at
threatened community. The next generation tsunami forecast provides estimates of all critical tsunami
parameters (amplitudes, inundation distances, current velocities etc.) based on direct tsunami observation and
model predictions.
Results of real-time experimental forecasts for five recent tsunamis will be presented to quantify the accuracy
and robustness of the NOAA experimental tsunami forecast system. The five tsunamis presented include Tonga
Island, May,2006, Kuril Island, November, 2006, Kuril Island, January,2007, Solomon Island, April, 2007, and
Peru, August ,2007.
UR: http://nctr.pmel.noaa.gov/
DE: 4255 Numerical modeling (0545, 0560)
DE: 4260 Ocean data assimilation and reanalysis (3225)
DE: 4564 Tsunamis and storm surges
DE: 7220 Oceanic crust
SC: Seismology [S]
MN: 2007 Fall Meeting