HR: 16:00h
AN: SM34A-01 INVITED    [Abstracts]
TI: Applying Forecast Models from the Center for Integrated Space Weather Modeling
AU: * Gehmeyr, M
AF: University of Colorado - LASP, 1234 Innovation Drive, Boulder, CO 80303, United States
AU: Baker, D N
AF: University of Colorado - LASP, 1234 Innovation Drive, Boulder, CO 80303, United States
AU: Millward, G
AF: University of Colorado - LASP, 1234 Innovation Drive, Boulder, CO 80303, United States
AU: Odstrcil, D
AF: University of Colorado - LASP, 1234 Innovation Drive, Boulder, CO 80303, United States
AB: The Center for Integrated Space Weather Modeling (CISM) has developed three forecast models (FMs) for the Sun-Earth chain. They have been matured by various degrees toward the operational stage. The Sun-Earth FM suite comprises empirical and physical models: the Planetary Equivalent Amplitude (AP-FM), the Solar Wind (SW- FM), and the Geospace (GS-FM) models. We give a brief overview of these forecast models and touch briefly on the associated validation studies. We demonstrate the utility of the models: AP-FM supporting the operations of the AIM (Aeronomy of Ice in the Mesosphere) mission soon after launch; SW-FM providing assistance with the interpretation of the STEREO beacon data; and GS-FM combining model and observed data to characterize the aurora borealis. We will then discuss space weather tools in a more general sense, point out where the current capabilities and shortcomings are, and conclude with a look forward to what areas need improvement to facilitate better real-time forecasts.
DE: 2100 INTERPLANETARY PHYSICS
DE: 2400 IONOSPHERE (6929)
DE: 2700 MAGNETOSPHERIC PHYSICS (6939)
DE: 7900 SPACE WEATHER
SC: SPA-Magnetospheric Physics [SM]
MN: 2007 Fall Meeting