HR: 09:35h
AN: T51E-07 INVITED    [Abstracts]
TI: Slip in Great Megathrust Earthquakes and its Relation to Crustal Structure as Revealed by Satellite Free-air Gravity
AU: * Wells, R E
EM: rwells@usgs.gov
AF: U. S. Geological Survey, 345 Middlefield Road MS 975, Menlo Park, CA 94025, United States
AU: Blakely, R J
EM: blakely@usgs.gov
AF: U. S. Geological Survey, 345 Middlefield Road MS 989, Menlo Park, CA 94025, United States
AU: Scholl, D
EM: dscholl@usgs.gov
AF: U. S. Geological Survey, 345 Middlefield Road MS 999, Menlo Park, CA 94025, United States
AB: In 2003, Song and Simons and Wells et al. showed that approximately 70% of the moment released during past large, shallow subduction zone thrust earthquakes occurred beneath trench-parallel, free-air gravity lows outlining the deep-sea slope terrace and its basins. The authors suggested that the basin-centered, fore-arc gravity lows might be good predictors of high seismic slip in future earthquakes. Since 2001, ten megathrust earthquakes have occurred with magnitudes greater than Mw 7.7, including the giant, Mw 9.17 Sumatra earthquake of 2004. These earthquakes provide a robust test of the idea that seismic slip is focused beneath basin-centered gravity lows, and also the related ideas that the landward maximum gravity gradient marks the effective down-dip limit of large coseismic slip, and that intrabasin, transverse gravity highs are areas of lower slip. A compilation of seismic and geodetic slip inversions for the post-2001 earthquakes and new analyses of slip for the great Antofagasta, Jalisco, and Peru events in 1995 and 1996 indicate that more than 80% of the high-slip areas occur beneath deep-sea terrace gravity lows (DSTL), and that half of the earthquake asperities lie beneath fore-arc basins or local gravity lows. The maximum gravity gradient along the landward margin of the deep-sea terrace may mark the point where thicker overlying crust and higher temperatures on the megathrust limit the down dip extent of stick-slip behavior. Onland analogues are the mountain front of the Himalaya, which approximately marks the down-dip limit of large coseismic slip along the Main Frontal Thrust, and the front of the Taiwan Central Ranges, which coincides with the limit of slip during the 1999 Chi-Chi earthquake (Mw 7.6). In the up dip direction, coseismic slip may be partitioned onto splay faults in the wedge, as occurred in the 1964 Alaska earthquake. The observed pattern of greater slip at depth beneath fore arc basins is consistent with partitioning of slip up dip, especially if outer wedge materials deform more slowly, as suggested for parts of the 2004 Sumatra rupture. Along strike variations in fore-arc gravity also correlate with changing seismic behavior. At Cape Erimo on Hokkaido, three Mw 8+ earthquakes (1952, 1968, 2003) have occurred on either side of the gravity high that overlies the Cape, with little coseismic slip beneath the high. To the northeast, the deep-sea terrace gradually narrows, as does the rupture width of the great earthquakes, until off the central Kurile Islands, the terrace disappears and the arc gravity high occupies the fore-arc. The gravity high had been an historic seismic gap that was filled by the 2006 Kurile Island earthquake (Mw 8.3). Although the earthquake nucleated under the high, the slip occurred beneath the adjacent gravity low to the northeast. This might suggest the gravity highs are not likely sources of large seismic moment, at least in M8 earthquakes. In contrast, the main asperity associated with the 2005 Sumatra (Mw 8.7) earthquake was beneath the large gravity high of Nias Island. An alternative view is that the gravity highs are stronger asperities that only rupture in giant earthquakes. Globally, the coincidence of basin- centered coseismic slip with geologic evidence of sustained subsidence of the fore-arc suggests that subduction erosion is occurring in the seismogenic zone. Recent work off Chile, Colombia, Peru, and elsewhere shows that subduction erosion is an important process in many subduction zones.
DE: 7240 Subduction zones (1207, 1219, 1240)
DE: 8104 Continental margins: convergent
DE: 8122 Dynamics: gravity and tectonics
DE: 8169 Sedimentary basin processes
SC: Tectonophysics [T]
MN: 2007 Fall Meeting