HR: 0800h
AN: V31A-0289 [Abstracts]
TI: Simulation of the 1980 Eruption of Mount St. Helens Using the Ash-tracking Model PUFF
AU: * Fero, J A
EM: jfero@gso.uri.edu
AF: University of Rhode Island
Graduate School of Oceanography, South Ferry Rd, Narragansett, RI 02882,
AU: Carey, S N
EM: scarey@gso.uri.edu
AF: University of Rhode Island
Graduate School of Oceanography, South Ferry Rd, Narragansett, RI 02882,
AU: Merrill, J T
EM: jmerrill@gso.uri.edu
AF: University of Rhode Island
Graduate School of Oceanography, South Ferry Rd, Narragansett, RI 02882,
AB:
The dispersal of volcanic ash from the May 18, 1980 eruption of Mt. St. Helens (MSH) has been simulated using
the Lagrangian ash-tracking model PUFF. Previous applications of the model were limited to smaller, short-lived
eruptions with ash dispersal occurring mainly within the troposphere. Two high-resolution atmospheric
reanalysis datasets (ERA-40 and NCEP/NCAR-40) allowed MSH ash cloud dispersal to be simulated up to 30
km elevation. The 1980 eruption was divided into two distinct eruptive phases, an initial, relatively short-lived
blast/surge phase that injected ash up to 30 km and a subsequent nine-hour plinian phase that maintained an
average eruption column height of 16 km. Using PUFF, the two phases of the MSH eruption were modeled
separately based on a range of individual input parameters and then combined to produce an integrated model of
the entire eruption. The trajectory and areal extent of the modeled atmospheric ash cloud best match the actual
distribution of MSH ash when input parameters such as eruption column height and umbrella cloud thickness
are set to values inferred from satellite and radar data collected on May 18, 1980. The prevailing wind field exerts
the strongest control on the advection and ultimate position of the modeled ash cloud, making the maximum
column height and the vertical distribution of ash the most sensitive of the PUFF input parameters for this event.
The results indicate that the PUFF model works well at simulating the dispersal of ash injected well into the lower
stratosphere generated from a moderate, relatively long-lived eruption such as Mt. St. Helens. However, attempts
to use PUFF to recreate some granulometric aspects of the MSH fallout deposit, such as plotting the maximum
particle size as a function of distance from source, were not successful. PUFF consistently predicts much
greater fallout distances for small ash particles (> 1 φ\)) than actually observed in the MSH deposit. The
effective settling velocities used by the PUFF model appear to be too slow to accurately predict fallout distances of
small ash particles. As a consequence the PUFF model may overestimate the duration of ash loading in the
atmosphere associated with the distal fine ash component of explosive eruptions.
DE: 8404 Volcanoclastic deposits
DE: 8409 Atmospheric effects (0370)
SC: Volcanology, Geochemistry, Petrology [V]
MN: 2007 Fall Meeting