HR: 14:45h
AN: A33B-06    [Abstracts]
TI: Real Time Seasonal Forecasts at FSU and its Application to Crop Models
AU: * LaRow, T
EM: larow@coaps.fsu.edu
AF: COAPS, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 32306-2840
AU: Sardonia, J
EM: sardonia@breeze.coaps.fsu.edu
AF: COAPS, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 32306-2840
AU: Shin, D
EM: shin@coaps.fsu.edu
AF: COAPS, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 32306-2840
AB: An experimental real time seasonal forecast has been issued by FSU for the past two Southeast U.S. growing seasons (March-August 2004 and October-March 2004-05). These forecasts are conducted using both the FSU global spectral model (T63L17) and the FSU regional spectral model (~20km resolution). Eight to ten member ensembles are generated for each growing season. The ensembles are developed using the time lagged initial condition approach. Results, along with comparisons to climatology, will be presented from the October-March 2004-2005 forecast period for 13 selected locations in Florida, Georgia and Alabama. Application to the modeling of the crop yields will be discussed.
DE: 1610 Atmosphere (0315, 0325)
DE: 3309 Climatology (1620)
DE: 3322 Land/atmosphere interactions
SC: Atmospheric Sciences [A]
MN: 2005 Joint Assembly