Atmospheric Temperature trends: Climate
Atmospheric Temperature trends: Climate
Models versus Observation
HR: 16:45h
AN: A34A-05 INVITED [Abstracts]
TI: Atmospheric Temperature trends: Climate Atmospheric Temperature trends: Climate Models versus Observation
AU: * Douglass, D H
EM: douglass@pas.rochester.edu
AF: University of Rochester, River Campus, Rochester, NY 14627 United States
AB:
Douglass, Pearson and Singer published a paper [1]: Altitude dependence of atmospheric temperature trends: Climate models
versus observation. In that paper they stated:
"As a consequence of greenhouse forcing, all state-of the-art general circulation models predict a positive temperature trend that is greater for the troposphere than the surface. This predicted positive trend increases in value with altitude until
it reaches a maximum ratio with respect to the surface of as much as 1.5 to 2.0 at about 200-400 hPa. However, the
temperature trends from several independent observational data sets of the past 25 years show decreasing as well as mostly
negative values. This disparity indicates that the three models examined here fail to account for the effects of greenhouse
forcings."
It is noted that in the 7 months since publication there has been no public rebuttal by the modeling community.
1. Douglass, Pearson and Singer. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 31, L13208, doi:10.1029/2004GL020103, 2004
DE: 0350 Pressure, density, and temperature
DE: 1610 Atmosphere (0315, 0325)
DE: 1620 Climate dynamics (3309)
DE: 1640 Remote sensing
SC: Atmospheric Sciences [A]
MN: 2005 Joint Assembly