HR: 1400h
AN: A23A-02 [Abstracts]
TI: How do Cyclones Spin up? Hurricane Dennis as a Case Study.
AU: * Cisneros, J A
EM: jcisnero@nmt.edu
AF: New Mexico Tech, 801 Leroy Place, Socorro, NM 87801, United States
AU: Raymond, D J
EM: raymond@kestrel.nmt.edu
AF: New Mexico Tech, 801 Leroy Place, Socorro, NM 87801, United States
AB:
Application of the flux form of the vorticity equation shows that a cyclone will develop when the tendency of
convergence to enhance the low-level circulation of a system is greater than the tendency of surface friction to
spin the system down.
In the present work we study the developing stages of Hurricane Dennis by applying this form of the vorticity
equation. We use dropsonde data released from the two NOAA P-3 aircraft in July of 2005 as part of the IFEX
(Intensity Forecasting EXperiment) campaign.
We find the convergence of absolute vorticity into the system directly from the dropsonde data. Then we find the
spin-down tendency due to frictional forces by making the assumption that the surface stress is distributed
uniformly through the depth of the inflow layer, taken to be the 100mb layer closest to the surface. These
calculations enable us to evaluate the spin-up rate of the system. Our results show a negative tendency in the
development of the cyclone which implies that it should not have spun up. Nevertheless, we know the system
evolved into a hurricane. This supports earlier results obtained in TEXMEX (Tropical EXperiment in MEXico).
We will discuss the possible causes of this discrepancy. The most likely cause is that the eddy transport of
momentum is more complex than we have envisioned here.
DE: 3374 Tropical meteorology
SC: Atmospheric Sciences [A]
MN: 2007 Joint Assembly