HR: 0800h
AN: A31A-04 [Abstracts]
TI: Assessment of the NCEP CFS GCM on the Predictability of the North American Monsoon
AU: * Williams, L N
EM: Lindsey.N.Williams@noaa.gov
AF: Climate Prediction Center, NCEP/NWS/NOAA, W/NP52, Rm806, WWB
5200 Auth Road, Camp Springs, MD 20746, United States
AU: Schemm, J E
EM: Jae.Schemm@noaa.gov
AF: Climate Prediction Center, NCEP/NWS/NOAA, W/NP52, Rm806, WWB
5200 Auth Road, Camp Springs, MD 20746, United States
AB:
Predictablility of the North American monsoon circulation is investigated with the 1981-2004 hindcast suite of the
NCEP CFS coupled GCM and experimental forecast runs of 60-day length for select years. The forecast runs
were made in the horizontal resolution of T62, T126 and T254 to investigate the impact of the spatial resolution on
the depiction of monsoon circulation. The hindcasts were made in T62 resolution.
Emphasis is on the prediction of precipitation and accompanying atmospheric circulation. Also investigated is
the onset phase of the monsoon over the NAME Core and Arizona /New Mexico regions. Some of these features
will also be studied in high resolution simulations with the T382 CFS.
DE: 3319 General circulation (1223)
DE: 3337 Global climate models (1626, 4928)
SC: Atmospheric Sciences [A]
MN: 2007 Joint Assembly