HR: 12:05h
AN: H22D-08    [Abstracts]
TI: Understanding the role of dynamical climate variations for Water Resources Decision-Making and Sustainability Considerations
AU: * Jain, S
EM: shaleen.jain@maine.edu
AF: University of Maine, Civil & Enviornmental Engineering, Orono, ME 04469, United States
AB: Recent research linking dynamical climate variations to surface water supplies provides two important considerations for sustainable water resources management and rulemaking: (1) The changing envelope of climate variability over the last century is mirrored in water supplies as shifts in the metrics of hydrologic variability--trends in mean and variance of runoff, shifts in seasonality, and frequency of floods and droughts--of relevance to planning, management and design. (2) An improved understanding of the low-frequency (annual to decadal and longer time scale) climate variations promise a foreknowledge of regional hydrologic variability, thus opening a way to develop predictive tools that use climate precursors as a guide to proactively adapt water resources management and operating plans on within-year and longer time scales. Some examples from the current research in this emerging research area linking climate to managed and natural hydrologic systems are presented. Implications of this research for Sustainable Water Use Rulemaking and Management for eastern and western North America are discussed.
DE: 6309 Decision making under uncertainty
SC: Hydrology [H]
MN: 2007 Joint Assembly