HR: 14:00h
AN: IN33A-01 [Abstracts]
TI: Sun-earth environment study to understand earthquake prediction
AU: * Mukherjee, S
EM: dr.saumitramukherjee@usa.net
AF: Jawaharlal Nehru University, Remote sensing Applications Laboratory
School of Environmental sciences
Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi, 110067, India
AB:
Earthquake prediction is possible by looking into the location of active sunspots before it harbours energy
towards earth. Earth is a restless planet the restlessness turns deadly occasionally. Of all natural hazards,
earthquakes are the most feared. For centuries scientists working in seismically active regions have noted
premonitory signals. Changes in thermosphere, Ionosphere, atmosphere and hydrosphere are noted before the
changes in geosphere. The historical records talk of changes of the water level in wells, of strange weather, of
ground-hugging fog, of unusual behaviour of animals (due to change in magnetic field of the earth) that seem to
feel the approach of a major earthquake. With the advent of modern science and technology the understanding of
these pre-earthquake signals has become stronger enough to develop a methodology of earthquake prediction.
A correlation of earth directed coronal mass ejection (CME) from the active sunspots has been possible to
develop as a precursor of the earthquake. Occasional local magnetic field and planetary indices (Kp values)
changes in the lower atmosphere that is accompanied by the formation of haze and a reduction of moisture in the
air.
Large patches, often tens to hundreds of thousands of square kilometres in size, seen in night-time infrared
satellite images where the land surface temperature seems to fluctuate rapidly. Perturbations in the ionosphere
at 90 - 120 km altitude have been observed before the occurrence of earthquakes. These changes affect the
transmission of radio waves and a radio black out has been observed due to CME. Another heliophysical
parameter Electron flux (Eflux) has been monitored before the occurrence of the earthquakes. More than
hundreds of case studies show that before the occurrence of the earthquakes the atmospheric temperature
increases and suddenly drops before the occurrence of the earthquakes. These changes are being monitored by
using Sun Observatory Heliospheric observatory (SOHO) satellite data. Whatever the manifestations in the
environment of the atmosphere or geosphere may be, there is a positive correlation of CMEs with change in
magnetic field followed by aurora borealis or sudden spark of light from the sky before an earthquake. Any change
in geomorphology in the pixel level, changes in groundwater level, geochemical anomalies of soils surrounding
active faults and vegetation anomalies should be monitored in the mirror image position of sunspots on the earth
facing side in reference to CME from the sun.
UR: http:www.jnu.ac.in
DE: 2459 Planetary ionospheres (5435, 5729, 6026)
SC: Earth and Space Science Informatics [IN]
MN: 2007 Joint Assembly