HR: 08:00h
AN: S51A-01    [Abstracts]
TI: Focal Mechanism of a Catastrophic Earthquake of the Last Rococo Period (1783) in Southern Italy Retrieved by Inverting Historical Information on Damage
AU: * Sirovich, L
EM: sirovich@ogs.trieste.it
AF: Istituto Nazionale di Oceanografia e di Geofisica Sperimentale - OGS, Borgo Grotta Gigante 42/c, Sgonico, TS 34010, Italy
AU: Pettenati, F
EM: fpettenati@ogs.trieste.it
AF: Istituto Nazionale di Oceanografia e di Geofisica Sperimentale - OGS, Borgo Grotta Gigante 42/c, Sgonico, TS 34010, Italy
AB: Using geophysical inversion to discover the fault source of a blind earthquake, that took place before the invention of the seismograph, seemed impossible. We demonstrated that sometimes it is possible using our simplified KF model (Sirovich, 1996) through automatic genetic inversion (Gentile et al., 2004 in BSSA; Sirovich and Pettenati, 2004 in JGR), and determined it conclusively by treating the Coalinga 1983, Loma Prieta 1989, and Northridge 1994 earthquakes (Pettenati and Sirovich, 2007 in BSSA). KF is able to simulate the body-wave radiation from a linear source, and eleven source parameters are retrieved: the three nucleation coordinates, the fault-plane solution, the seismic moment, the rupture velocities and lengths along-strike and anti-strike, the shear wave velocity in the half-space. To find the minima on the hypersurface of the residuals in the multi-parameter model space, we use a genetic process with niching since we have already shown that the problem is bimodal for pure dip-slip mechanisms. The objective function of the nonlinear inversion is the sum of the squared residuals (calculated-minus-observed intensity at all sites). Here, we use the very good intensity data provided in the MCS scale by the INGV of Italy for the M 6.9 earthquake of Feb. 5, 1783 (see the Italian intensity data bank on http:emidius.mi.ingv.it/DOM/consultazione.html). The data of 1783 were created by seismologists and historians who interpreted the reports of the time and many other historical sources. Given the limitations of the KF approach, we limited our inversion to a square area of 200 by 200 km around the most heavily damaged zone. 341 surveyed towns and hamlets received intensity degrees by INGV (we discarded 6 of them as statistical outliers according to the classical Chauvenet method). Thus, 335 data were inverted. The match between experimental and synthetic isoseismals is really noteworthy. The found mechanism is almost pure dip-slip and, thus, the problem is bimodal. In fact, two source models score almost the same objective function, and they coincide with the auxiliary planes of the same solution. The best source is: nucleation latitude [degrees] 38.28, longitude 15.95, depth 13.1 km; strike angle 210, dip 31, rake 269(±180); seismic moment 2.7 * 10e19 Nm, 3.1 km/s rupture velocity along-strike (3.3 anti-strike), 22.3 km rupture length along-strike (20.7 anti-strike), 3.9 km/s shear wave velocity in the half-space. The second solution, having the same nucleation coordinates and a one-point difference in the objective function (117 against 116) is: strike angle 30, dip 60, rake 270(±180); seismic moment 2.6 * 10e19 Nm, 3.3 km/s rupture velocity along-strike (3.0 anti-strike), 19.4 km rupture length along-strike (21.9 anti-strike), 3.9 km/s shear wave velocity in the half-space. Note the symmetry with the former solution. In other words, we find one fault source having a low-angle dip toward the Tyrrhenian Sea; its virtual intersection with the topographical surface should be found close to the Jonian coast. On the contrary, its symmetric solution strikes SW, has a high-angle dip toward the Jonian Sea, and the fault should outcrop close to the Tyrrhenian coast. Both sources are compatible with the orientation of the principal tectonic structures in the area, however. The final choice between them will hopefully come from tectonic interpretation. This kind of study seems especially promising for southern Europe where a lot of documents on seismic damage caused by old earthquakes exist.
UR: http:emidius.mi.ingv.it/DOM/consultazione.html
DE: 1734 Seismology
DE: 7212 Earthquake ground motions and engineering seismology
DE: 7221 Paleoseismology (8036)
DE: 7230 Seismicity and tectonics (1207, 1217, 1240, 1242)
SC: Seismology [S]
MN: 2007 Joint Assembly