HR: 15:40h
AN: U23A-06 [Abstracts]
TI: Evolving the linkages between North American Monsoon Experiment research and services in
the binational monsoon region
AU: * Ray, A J
EM: andrea.ray@noaa.gov
AF: andrea.ray@noaa.gov, 325 Broadway, Boulder, CO 80305, United States
AB:
Multi-year drought, high interannual precipitation variability, and rapid population growth present major challenges
to water resources and land managers in the U.S. Southwest and binational monsoon region. The NAME
strategy to improve warm season precipitation forecasts is paying off in the understanding of the system and its
potential predictability, illustrated by a special issue of the Journal of Climate with about 25 articles and
numerous other published papers (e.g. Higgins and Gochis et al. 2006; Gutzler et al. 2004, Higgins et al. 2003).
NOAA now has set a goal to NAME and other initiatives also have the potential to provide key insights, such as
historic information regarding onset and overall strength of the monsoon as it affects stakeholder interests in
flooding, soil moisture, vegetation health, and summer water demand.
However, the usual avenues for scientific output, such as peer-reviewed publications and web sites designed for
use by climate and weather experts, do not adequately support the flow of knowledge to operational
decisionmakers.
A recent workshop on Monsoon Region climate Applications in Guaymas, Sonora identified several areas in
which monsoon science might contribute to reducing societal vulnerability, as well as some research findings
that are suited to transition into model development and operations at service providers including NOAA and
SMN. They recommended that products are needed that interpret climate forecasts for water resource
management applications, and developing new regionally-tailored climate information products. This
presentation will discuss how to enhance the flow of monsoon information and predictions to stakeholders by
linking user-oriented perspectives with research results from NAME and other programs, including a new effort
for a North American Monsoon Forecast Forum which plans to develop periodic consolidated North American
Monsoon outlooks.
DE: 1630 Impacts of global change (1225)
SC: Union [U]
MN: 2007 Joint Assembly