Tuesday Morning 1
Time	Session	Location	Title
0800	S21C	MCC 3006	Time-Dependent, Physics-Based Earthquake-Forecast Models (joint with T) Presiding: E H Field, U.S. Geological Survey; D D Jackson, University of California, Los Angeles    [Abstracts]
0800	S21C-01	MCC 3006	A Progress Report on the Working Group for the Development of Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models (RELM) *E H Field    [details]
0815	S21C-02	MCC 3006	Forecasting the evolution of seismicity in southern California: Animations built on earthquake stress transfer *R S Stein, S Toda, K Richards-Dinger, S B Bozkurt    [details]
0830	S21C-03	MCC 3006	Significance of stress transfer in time-dependent earthquake probability calculation *T Parsons    [details]
0845	S21C-04	MCC 3006	Simulation-Based Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment Using System-Level, Physics-Based Models: Assembling Virtual California P B Rundle, *J B Rundle, G Morein, A Donnellan, D Turcotte, W Klein    [details]
0900	S21C-05	MCC 3006	Test of a Short-Term Prediction Algorithm P Shebalin, *V Keilis-Borok, S Uyeda    [details]
0915	S21C-06	MCC 3006	Optimizing the Parameters of the Rate-and-State Constitutive Law in an Earthquake Clustering Model *R Console, M Murru, F Catalli    [details]
0930	S21C-07	MCC 3006	Synchronous seismicity-rate-changes from the predicted rates by the ETAS model in and around the northern Japan preceding the 2003 Tokachi-oki earthquake of M8.0 *Y Ogata    [details]
0945	S21C-08	MCC 3006	Prospective Tests of Southern California Earthquake Forecasts *D D Jackson, D Schorlemmer, M Gerstenberger, Y Y Kagan, A Helmstetter, S Wiemer, N Field    [details]